Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?
Donné pour acquis85%
$251volnouveau
Marchés de prédiction
Les gros titres de demain, aujourd'hui.
Un marché de prédiction est une place où des parieurs achètent des parts sur l'issue d'un événement futur ; le prix de la part reflète la probabilité estimée par le marché. France Cryptos suit les marchés Polymarket les plus actifs : leur cote, leur thème et leur date de verdict.
Toutes les actualités du futur
902 actualités
Verdicts aujourd'hui
Cette semaine
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Donné pour acquis99%
$2kvolnouveau
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Donné pour acquis97%
$1kvolnouveau
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Donné pour acquis93%
$823vol
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Donné pour acquis89%
$2kvolnouveau
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Donné pour acquis80%
$78kvolnouveau
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?
Probabilité estimée78%
$12kvol
Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?
Probabilité estimée73%
$6kvol
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Donné pour acquis99%
$15kvolnouveau
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Donné pour acquis85%
$154kvolnouveau
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Donné pour acquis82%
$44kvol
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Donné pour acquis82%
$13kvolnouveau
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?
Donné pour acquis81%
$5kvolnouveau
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
Probabilité estimée78%
$13kvolnouveau
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?
Probabilité estimée67%
$6kvol
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
Probabilité estimée66%
$4kvol
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
Probabilité estimée62%
$18kvol
Will King Carl XVI Gustaf attend King Harald V's funeral?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?
Donné pour acquis82%
$188kvolnouveau
Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?
Donné pour acquis99%
$8kvol
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
Donné pour acquis92%
$11kvol
Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?
Donné pour acquis92%
$5kvol
Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?
Donné pour acquis91%
$8kvol
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
Donné pour acquis90%
$4kvol
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?
Donné pour acquis88%
$5kvol
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
Donné pour acquis88%
$5kvol
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$11kvol
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$11kvol
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?
Donné pour acquis85%
$5kvol
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?
Donné pour acquis84%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Donné pour acquis83%
+3 pts$5kvol
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?
Donné pour acquis82%
$4kvol
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?
Donné pour acquis80%
-10 pts$5kvol
Will Trump say "King" this week?
Donné pour acquis80%
$4kvol
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée76%
$4kvol
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée76%
+5 pts$5kvol
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?
Probabilité estimée75%
-6 pts$6kvol
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?
Probabilité estimée73%
$14kvol
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?
Probabilité estimée73%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée73%
$4kvol
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?
Probabilité estimée71%
$12kvol
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$5kvol
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
Probabilité estimée69%
$5kvol
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
Probabilité estimée68%
+6 pts$8kvol
Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$5kvol
Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?
Probabilité estimée63%
$1kvol
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?
Probabilité estimée60%
-25 pts$6kvol
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
Donné pour acquis93%
$5kvol
Will "Runner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Probabilité estimée78%
$7kvol
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?
Probabilité estimée75%
$3kvolnouveau
L'UBJP va remporter le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires de BARMM le 14 septembre
Probabilité estimée68%
$5kvol
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?
Donné pour acquis93%
$8kvol
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Donné pour acquis97%
$3kvolnouveau
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$4kvol
Will Russia target Kyiv by September 11, 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Donné pour acquis97%
$6kvolnouveau
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$17kvol
Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvolnouveau
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Probabilité estimée63%
$6kvolnouveau
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée62%
$5.6Mvol
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
Probabilité estimée74%
$6kvol
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?
Donné pour acquis97%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?
Probabilité estimée63%
$5kvol
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
Donné pour acquis97%
$11kvol
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvolnouveau
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis98%
$22kvolnouveau
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 11, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$41kvol
Ce mois-ci
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Donné pour acquis88%
$5kvolnouveau
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Donné pour acquis81%
$137kvolnouveau
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Probabilité estimée78%
$414kvol
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Probabilité estimée75%
$10kvol
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Probabilité estimée75%
$7kvolnouveau
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Probabilité estimée62%
$4kvol
Will United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Will United Russia win the next Tambov Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis99%
$6kvol
Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis97%
$3kvol
Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis96%
-3 pts$4kvol
Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Donné pour acquis98%
$6kvol
Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?
Donné pour acquis98%
$13kvol
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?
Donné pour acquis95%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
Donné pour acquis94%
$9kvol
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
Donné pour acquis93%
+3 pts$5kvol
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Donné pour acquis93%
$7kvol
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
Probabilité estimée75%
$11kvolnouveau
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?
Probabilité estimée72%
$15kvolnouveau
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Probabilité estimée72%
$10kvolnouveau
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Probabilité estimée70%
$6kvolnouveau
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?
Probabilité estimée68%
$5kvol
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Probabilité estimée65%
$5kvol
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Probabilité estimée63%
$9kvol
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
Probabilité estimée71%
$798volnouveau
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?
Donné pour acquis87%
$2kvolnouveau
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis97%
$524vol
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
Probabilité estimée63%
$6kvol
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
Probabilité estimée63%
$3kvol
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$5kvol
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 28?
Donné pour acquis99%
$2kvol
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis82%
$2kvolnouveau
La Russie va capturer l'intégralité de Huliaipole d'ici le 30 septembre
Donné pour acquis99%
$45kvol
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?
Donné pour acquis97%
$12kvol
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
Probabilité estimée70%
$401vol
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$7kvol
Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$40kvol
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$18kvol
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$13kvol
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$9kvol
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$2kvol
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$86kvol
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$43kvol
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$31kvol
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 3?
Donné pour acquis100%
$18kvol
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$6kvol
Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?
Donné pour acquis100%
$6kvol
GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$342kvol
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$30kvol
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$24kvol
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?
Donné pour acquis97%
$3kvolnouveau
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$32kvolnouveau
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Donné pour acquis95%
$41kvolnouveau
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
Donné pour acquis95%
$169vol
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
+8 pts$104kvol
Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$17kvol
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Donné pour acquis93%
$7kvol
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Donné pour acquis92%
$9kvolnouveau
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$3kvol
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
Donné pour acquis90%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?
Donné pour acquis89%
$11kvol
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$4kvol
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?
Donné pour acquis86%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in September?
Donné pour acquis84%
$11kvol
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée79%
$640vol
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Probabilité estimée78%
$175kvolnouveau
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Probabilité estimée70%
+4 pts$57kvol
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée67%
$19kvol
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?
Probabilité estimée66%
-3 pts$4kvol
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée63%
$2kvol
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?
Probabilité estimée63%
$656vol
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
Probabilité estimée62%
$12kvol
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
Probabilité estimée61%
$14kvol
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$10kvol
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvol
Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by September 15, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$1kvol
Will Mike Winkelmann (Beeple) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?
Donné pour acquis99%
$14kvol
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
Donné pour acquis99%
$3kvol
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
+28 pts$3kvol
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Donné pour acquis97%
$63kvolnouveau
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvolnouveau
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
+3 pts$2kvol
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$557vol
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$21kvolnouveau
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$14kvolnouveau
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 10, 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$3kvol
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis92%
$6kvolnouveau
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?
Donné pour acquis91%
$13kvolnouveau
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$3kvolnouveau
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis89%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis89%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?
Donné pour acquis89%
$2kvol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis89%
$93kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$1kvol
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$680vol
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
Donné pour acquis87%
$11kvol
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis86%
$2kvol
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$825volnouveau
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis83%
$598vol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis82%
$778vol
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis81%
$596volnouveau
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Donné pour acquis80%
$1kvol
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée78%
$963vol
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée75%
$25kvolnouveau
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée74%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée71%
$884volnouveau
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?
Probabilité estimée70%
$3kvol
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
Probabilité estimée69%
$65kvolnouveau
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée68%
$3kvol
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$4kvol
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$3kvolnouveau
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$1kvol
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$12kvol
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$663vol
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$10kvol
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvol
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
Donné pour acquis84%
$12kvol
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Probabilité estimée73%
$92kvolnouveau
Le Partido Liberal va conserver la majorité à la Chambre des députés brésilienne le 4 octobre
Probabilité estimée73%
$5kvol
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?
Probabilité estimée66%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Probabilité estimée62%
$4kvol
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva va remporter l'élection présidentielle brésilienne le 4 octobre 2026
Probabilité estimée62%
$2.7Mvol
Renan Santos va terminer troisième au premier tour de la présidentielle brésilienne le 4 octobre
Probabilité estimée61%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will Dycom Industries (DY) beat quarterly earnings?
Donné pour acquis90%
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis99%
$7kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?
Donné pour acquis98%
$6kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?
Donné pour acquis97%
$7kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?
Donné pour acquis97%
$6kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
Donné pour acquis91%
$6kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?
Donné pour acquis91%
$4kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Donné pour acquis87%
$11kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?
Donné pour acquis87%
+3 pts$4kvol
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis87%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
Donné pour acquis85%
$5kvol
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?
Donné pour acquis85%
$5kvol
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis84%
$4kvol
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?
Donné pour acquis84%
$4kvol
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
Donné pour acquis82%
$6kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$12kvolnouveau
Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée78%
$5kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
Probabilité estimée78%
$6kvol
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Probabilité estimée77%
$4kvol
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Probabilité estimée76%
$6kvol
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée75%
$5kvol
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
Probabilité estimée75%
$4kvol
Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
Probabilité estimée73%
$5kvol
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
Probabilité estimée72%
$4kvol
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée72%
$5kvol
Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$6kvol
Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$4kvol
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
Probabilité estimée70%
$5kvol
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$6kvol
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$3kvol
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
Probabilité estimée67%
$5kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
Probabilité estimée67%
$4kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
Probabilité estimée67%
-16 pts$3kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Probabilité estimée66%
-3 pts$4kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
Probabilité estimée65%
$6kvol
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$6kvol
Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$5kvol
Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$5kvol
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$6kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Probabilité estimée65%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
Probabilité estimée64%
$6kvol
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
Probabilité estimée63%
$6kvol
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?
Probabilité estimée62%
$10kvol
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Probabilité estimée62%
-3 pts$6kvol
Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?
Probabilité estimée62%
$4kvol
Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Donné pour acquis83%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?
Probabilité estimée62%
$5kvol
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$5kvol
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Probabilité estimée68%
$13kvol
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?
Probabilité estimée64%
$6kvol
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Donné pour acquis91%
$6kvol
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?
Donné pour acquis87%
$12kvol
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Donné pour acquis83%
$7kvolnouveau
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?
Probabilité estimée74%
$3kvol
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Probabilité estimée74%
+6 pts$6kvol
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Donné pour acquis91%
$6kvol
Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?
Probabilité estimée69%
$10kvol
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
Probabilité estimée75%
$3kvolnouveau
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Donné pour acquis92%
$10kvol
Plus tard
Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$5kvol
Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$4kvol
Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
Donné pour acquis81%
$6kvolnouveau
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Probabilité estimée60%
$375vol
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Donné pour acquis82%
$603volnouveau
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée78%
$275vol
Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis94%
$9kvol
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$6kvol
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis84%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$5kvol
Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée73%
$4kvol
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée61%
$4kvol
Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis93%
$14kvol
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis83%
$10kvol
Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis80%
+4 pts$5kvol
Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée79%
$4kvol
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée77%
$5kvol
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$7kvol
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$6kvol
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
Probabilité estimée75%
$3kvol
Olivia Chow va remporter l'élection municipale de Toronto le 26 octobre 2026
Donné pour acquis88%
$6kvol
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Probabilité estimée77%
$6kvol
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Probabilité estimée62%
$15kvol
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Donné pour acquis82%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$6kvol
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis86%
$3kvolnouveau
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Probabilité estimée76%
$597volnouveau
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée66%
$111kvolnouveau
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Probabilité estimée76%
$109kvolnouveau
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis86%
$8kvolnouveau
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis86%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
Probabilité estimée72%
$436vol
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Donné pour acquis99%
$96kvol
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$5kvol
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$67kvol
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$507kvol
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?
Donné pour acquis98%
$22kvol
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
Probabilité estimée73%
$5kvol
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée73%
$738volnouveau
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$17kvol
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Probabilité estimée61%
$68kvol
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?
Donné pour acquis100%
$19kvol
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$6kvol
Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$3kvol
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$1kvolnouveau
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis87%
$741volnouveau
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$931vol
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?
Donné pour acquis84%
$2kvol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
Donné pour acquis83%
$562vol
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
Donné pour acquis82%
$2kvol
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée77%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31?
Probabilité estimée74%
$5kvolnouveau
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée73%
$2kvol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée72%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée71%
$1kvol
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée69%
$9kvolnouveau
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée69%
$3kvolnouveau
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée68%
$2kvol
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée68%
$1kvol
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée68%
$1kvol
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$1kvol
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
Probabilité estimée66%
$3kvol
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?
Probabilité estimée66%
$3kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$1kvolnouveau
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$2kvol
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$728vol
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?
Probabilité estimée61%
$16kvol
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
Probabilité estimée60%
$2kvol
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
+5 pts$32kvol
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
+3 pts$428vol
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?
Donné pour acquis99%
$4kvol
Mary Peltola va remporter le plus de voix à la primaire du Sénat d'Alaska le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis99%
$13kvol
Le Texas va utiliser une nouvelle carte électorale pour les élections de mi-mandat 2026
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre OH-11 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis98%
+4 pts$9kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$10kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$8kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$9kvol
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre NY-05 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis97%
$9kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$10kvolnouveau
Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$9kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$7kvol
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$3kvol
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$15kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$9kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre OR-03 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$10kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-33 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the IN-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$11kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$18kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de représentant du NJ-10 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-46 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du TX-19 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre TX-30 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre PA-03 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$14kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis95%
$3kvol
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Donné pour acquis95%
$18kvolnouveau
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre CA-28 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$15kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$14kvol
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$11kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$10kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$10kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de la Chambre MI-09 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$7kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$7kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$7kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-16 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant en Floride FL-28 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre NC-12 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Les Démocrates vont remporter l'élection gouvernoriale de New York le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre MN-03 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre CA-39 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre NY-09 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
+3 pts$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre GA-06 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis95%
$3kvol
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvolnouveau
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Les Démocrates vont remporter l'élection sénatoriale en Géorgie le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis94%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre CA-44 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de la Chambre WI-05 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$3kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant CA-23 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis93%
+5 pts$18kvol
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$12kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du Tennessee TN-04 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis93%
+5 pts$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du TX-17 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$5kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du Missouri-04 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis93%
+5 pts$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis92%
+5 pts$3kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du TX-27 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis92%
+4 pts$5kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant NC-06 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis92%
$11kvol
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$8kvol
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
+8 pts$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?
Donné pour acquis92%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du Tennessee-07 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Donné pour acquis90%
$10kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre CA-21 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis90%
$6kvol
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?
Donné pour acquis90%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
Donné pour acquis89%
$14kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
Donné pour acquis89%
$11kvol
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis88%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$9kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?
Donné pour acquis88%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?
Donné pour acquis87%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Donné pour acquis87%
$266kvolnouveau
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis87%
$11kvolnouveau
Les Démocrates vont remporter l'élection du gouverneur de l'Oregon le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis85%
+4 pts$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis84%
$15kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant du TX-24 le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis84%
$10kvol
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis84%
$7kvol
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Donné pour acquis83%
$17kvol
Le Parti républicain va remporter le siège de représentant AK-AL le 3 novembre
Donné pour acquis83%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?
Donné pour acquis83%
$10kvol
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis82%
$3kvol
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis81%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?
Donné pour acquis81%
$4kvol
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée79%
$5kvol
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?
Probabilité estimée76%
$10kvol
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée75%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
Probabilité estimée73%
$6kvol
Les Démocrates vont remporter l'élection sénatoriale du Maine le 3 novembre
Probabilité estimée71%
$49kvol
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
Probabilité estimée69%
$6kvol
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée69%
$5kvolnouveau
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée69%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Probabilité estimée65%
$6kvol
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$4kvol
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$10kvolnouveau
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?
Probabilité estimée63%
$6kvol
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$9kvol
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$6kvol
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Probabilité estimée60%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?
Donné pour acquis94%
$9kvolnouveau
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?
Donné pour acquis97%
$10kvol
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvol
Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis96%
$6kvol
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?
Donné pour acquis96%
$9kvol
Sydney Kamlager-Dove va remporter le siège de représentante de Californie CA-37
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?
Donné pour acquis92%
$4kvol
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?
Donné pour acquis88%
$5kvol
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?
Donné pour acquis81%
$5kvol
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Probabilité estimée78%
-7 pts$4kvol
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
Probabilité estimée77%
$7kvol
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée72%
$5kvol
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$4kvol
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?
Probabilité estimée69%
$4kvol
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée68%
$563vol
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
Probabilité estimée66%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Probabilité estimée63%
$4kvol
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?
Probabilité estimée63%
$5kvol
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
Probabilité estimée62%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?
Donné pour acquis98%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
Donné pour acquis96%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre NJ-05 le 4 novembre
Donné pour acquis96%
+4 pts$8kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$7kvol
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$6kvol
Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$4kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre NY-03 le 4 novembre
Donné pour acquis93%
$13kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis93%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?
Donné pour acquis91%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?
Donné pour acquis90%
$10kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Donné pour acquis87%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
Donné pour acquis86%
$5kvol
Le Parti démocrate va remporter le siège de la Chambre WA-03 le 4 novembre
Donné pour acquis85%
$6kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?
Donné pour acquis82%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
Probabilité estimée76%
$4kvol
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Probabilité estimée72%
$5kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Probabilité estimée71%
$4kvol
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?
Probabilité estimée71%
$5kvol
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Probabilité estimée62%
$673vol
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Donné pour acquis92%
$276volnouveau
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée66%
$3kvolnouveau
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$3kvol
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?
Donné pour acquis90%
$4kvol
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée66%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Donné pour acquis92%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
Donné pour acquis89%
$4kvol
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Donné pour acquis89%
$5kvol
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$17kvol
Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?
Donné pour acquis85%
$3kvol
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Donné pour acquis84%
$5kvol
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
Donné pour acquis81%
$5kvol
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$4kvol
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?
Probabilité estimée77%
$5kvol
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?
Probabilité estimée75%
$3kvol
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?
Probabilité estimée70%
$3kvol
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?
Probabilité estimée62%
$5kvol
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Probabilité estimée76%
$5kvol
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$5kvolnouveau
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$1kvol
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée72%
$2kvolnouveau
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$1kvol
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$2kvol
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$2kvol
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$773vol
GTA VI released by November 30?
Donné pour acquis93%
$4kvol
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis88%
$4kvolnouveau
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$1kvol
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Probabilité estimée79%
$80kvolnouveau
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée76%
$654volnouveau
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvol
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?
Donné pour acquis100%
+36 pts$14kvol
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Donné pour acquis99%
$350volnouveau
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
Donné pour acquis97%
$1kvol
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Donné pour acquis97%
$5kvol
Delcy Rodríguez restera la leader de facto du Venezuela fin 2026
Donné pour acquis95%
$13kvol
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$11kvolnouveau
La Fed ne va procéder à aucune baisse de taux en 2026
Donné pour acquis93%
$475kvol
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$16kvolnouveau
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Donné pour acquis84%
$4kvolnouveau
La Russie va entrer à Serhiivka d'ici le 31 décembre
Donné pour acquis82%
$8kvol
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Probabilité estimée76%
$4kvol
Une IA va remporter une médaille d'or à l'IMO en 2026
Probabilité estimée76%
-5 pts$252vol
La FDA va approuver Daraxonrasib avant le 31 décembre
Probabilité estimée74%
$518vol
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Probabilité estimée73%
$110kvolnouveau
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
Probabilité estimée71%
$5kvol
La Cour suprême va accepter l'affaire de contrat d'événement sportif d'ici le 31 décembre
Probabilité estimée70%
$1kvol
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Probabilité estimée68%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
Probabilité estimée66%
$65kvol
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$398vol
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$270vol
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Probabilité estimée65%
$2kvol
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$14kvol
Le trafic du détroit d'Ormuz va revenir à la normale le 31 décembre
Probabilité estimée63%
$116kvol
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Probabilité estimée63%
+3 pts$32kvol
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
Probabilité estimée63%
$6kvol
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Probabilité estimée62%
$2kvol
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$2kvol
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$932vol
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Probabilité estimée61%
-3 pts$6kvol
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvol
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$12vol
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$644vol
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$510vol
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Donné pour acquis96%
$306kvol
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Donné pour acquis80%
$67kvol
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Probabilité estimée63%
$51kvol
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?
Donné pour acquis95%
+4 pts$343kvol
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$89kvol
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Donné pour acquis100%
$6kvolnouveau
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Donné pour acquis99%
$1kvol
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$13kvol
Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
Donné pour acquis99%
+5 pts$217kvol
Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera lancé d'ici le 31 décembre 2026
Donné pour acquis99%
$307kvol
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$24kvol
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?
Donné pour acquis99%
$45kvol
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$19kvol
La capitalisation boursière de CXMT atteindra 400 milliards de yuans le 31 décembre
Donné pour acquis99%
$15kvol
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$268vol
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis98%
$3kvol
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?
Donné pour acquis98%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Donné pour acquis98%
$34kvolnouveau
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Donné pour acquis97%
$6kvol
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Donné pour acquis96%
$857volnouveau
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis91%
$835volnouveau
LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?
Donné pour acquis90%
$30kvol
Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$18kvol
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Donné pour acquis89%
$1kvol
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis87%
$602vol
Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?
Donné pour acquis86%
$124volnouveau
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$4kvolnouveau
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?
Donné pour acquis85%
$3kvol
Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
Donné pour acquis81%
$5kvolnouveau
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée72%
$17kvolnouveau
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
Probabilité estimée70%
$14kvol
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
Probabilité estimée70%
$9kvol
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Probabilité estimée68%
$4kvol
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Probabilité estimée67%
$1kvol
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Probabilité estimée65%
$4kvol
Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$40kvol
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$97kvol
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Probabilité estimée61%
$107vol
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$5kvol
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$4kvol
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Probabilité estimée61%
$801vol
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Probabilité estimée60%
-13 pts$2kvol
Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis100%
$5kvol
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$118kvol
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?
Donné pour acquis99%
$13kvol
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Donné pour acquis99%
$11kvol
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$8kvol
Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$763volnouveau
Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$5kvol
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$588volnouveau
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$620vol
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?
Donné pour acquis97%
$7kvolnouveau
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Donné pour acquis96%
$7volnouveau
LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?
Donné pour acquis96%
$48kvol
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?
Donné pour acquis96%
$11kvol
Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis95%
nouveau
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$6kvol
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis94%
$4kvol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Donné pour acquis93%
$78kvolnouveau
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis93%
$1kvolnouveau
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?
Donné pour acquis92%
$6kvol
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Donné pour acquis92%
$1kvol
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Donné pour acquis91%
$596volnouveau
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis91%
$9kvolnouveau
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Donné pour acquis91%
$2kvol
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$938volnouveau
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Donné pour acquis90%
$2kvol
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Donné pour acquis90%
$6kvolnouveau
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$5kvolnouveau
Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis90%
$4kvolnouveau
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
Donné pour acquis90%
$40vol
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Donné pour acquis87%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis85%
$5kvol
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Donné pour acquis83%
$847volnouveau
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis83%
$5kvol
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Donné pour acquis83%
$625vol
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Donné pour acquis82%
$3kvol
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Donné pour acquis82%
$2kvol
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis82%
$78kvolnouveau
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Donné pour acquis82%
$997volnouveau
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Probabilité estimée79%
$4kvol
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Probabilité estimée75%
$3kvolnouveau
La Russie va capturer l'intégralité de Chasiv Yar d'ici le 31 décembre
Probabilité estimée73%
$2kvol
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Probabilité estimée73%
$4kvolnouveau
Grok 5 sera lancé d'ici le 31 décembre 2026
Probabilité estimée73%
$964vol
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?
Probabilité estimée71%
$10kvol
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
Probabilité estimée69%
$11kvol
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
Probabilité estimée68%
+7 pts$1kvol
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Probabilité estimée67%
$5kvol
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Probabilité estimée67%
$4kvolnouveau
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Probabilité estimée67%
$3kvol
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?
Probabilité estimée66%
$40kvol
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$6kvol
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?
Probabilité estimée66%
$4kvol
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$14volnouveau
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$40vol
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
$792volnouveau
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$787vol
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$33kvol
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Probabilité estimée64%
$5kvolnouveau
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
Probabilité estimée63%
$3kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Probabilité estimée63%
$9kvolnouveau
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Probabilité estimée63%
$5kvol
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée63%
$3kvolnouveau
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Probabilité estimée62%
$4kvolnouveau
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Probabilité estimée61%
$55kvol
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Probabilité estimée61%
$729vol
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée60%
$339kvol
GRVT va lancer un token avant le 1er janvier
Donné pour acquis99%
$4kvol
Will Ethos launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$1kvol
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
Donné pour acquis88%
$3kvol
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis81%
$2kvolnouveau
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Donné pour acquis81%
$765volnouveau
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée78%
+14 pts$156vol
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Probabilité estimée61%
$1kvol
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée60%
$2kvol
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Donné pour acquis91%
$800vol
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
Probabilité estimée64%
$324volnouveau
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
Donné pour acquis91%
$260volnouveau
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Probabilité estimée66%
$2kvol
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$10kvol
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?
Probabilité estimée78%
-3 pts$5kvol
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?
Probabilité estimée74%
$5kvol
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Donné pour acquis81%
$99vol
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Donné pour acquis88%
$4kvol
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Probabilité estimée66%
$425vol
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Probabilité estimée61%
$549vol
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvolnouveau
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Donné pour acquis90%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Probabilité estimée66%
$1kvolnouveau
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Probabilité estimée62%
$865vol
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
Donné pour acquis91%
$5kvol
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis90%
$7kvol
Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis87%
$5kvol
Will Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis87%
$4kvol
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$6kvol
Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis86%
$4kvol
Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis83%
$10kvol
Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?
Donné pour acquis80%
$6kvol
Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée77%
$5kvol
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée74%
$9kvol
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$10kvol
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$6kvol
Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée69%
$5kvol
Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?
Probabilité estimée68%
$8kvol
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Donné pour acquis87%
$370volnouveau
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
Probabilité estimée69%
$483vol
The Odyssey va recevoir le plus de nominations aux Oscars le 28 février
Donné pour acquis85%
$4kvol
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Probabilité estimée70%
$4kvol
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Probabilité estimée62%
$12kvol
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
Probabilité estimée62%
$4kvol
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis98%
$2kvol
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$46kvol
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?
Donné pour acquis82%
$11kvol
Will Umia launch a token by November 30, 2026?
Donné pour acquis99%
$1kvol
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Donné pour acquis95%
$5kvol
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Donné pour acquis87%
$6kvol
Le Mouvement de régénération nationale (Morena) va remporter le plus de sièges aux élections législatives mexicaines du 6 juin
Donné pour acquis89%
$12kvol
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Probabilité estimée73%
$6kvol
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?
Donné pour acquis88%
$5kvol
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Probabilité estimée71%
$12kvol
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Probabilité estimée64%
$5kvol
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Probabilité estimée63%
$14kvol
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Probabilité estimée69%
$2kvolnouveau
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)
Donné pour acquis100%
$10kvol
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis88%
$2kvol
SpaceX va lancer Starship depuis la Floride d'ici le 30 juin 2027
Donné pour acquis86%
$996vol
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis84%
$420vol
Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?
Probabilité estimée73%
$4kvol
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?
Probabilité estimée60%
$5kvol
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis89%
$21kvolnouveau
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
Donné pour acquis97%
$9kvolnouveau
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée72%
$4kvolnouveau
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée69%
$24kvolnouveau
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Probabilité estimée61%
$6kvol
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
Probabilité estimée65%
$10kvol
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Donné pour acquis95%
$19kvolnouveau
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Donné pour acquis87%
$551volnouveau
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Probabilité estimée61%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Probabilité estimée79%
$184volnouveau
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis87%
$799volnouveau
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Donné pour acquis86%
$4kvol
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis81%
$2kvolnouveau
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
Probabilité estimée79%
$4kvol
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Probabilité estimée73%
$6kvol
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée65%
$1kvol
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis95%
$265volnouveau
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis92%
$44kvolnouveau
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis86%
$72kvolnouveau
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Donné pour acquis86%
$1volnouveau
Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée79%
$1kvol
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Probabilité estimée77%
$3kvol
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée68%
$21kvolnouveau
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée67%
$14kvolnouveau
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?
Probabilité estimée66%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Probabilité estimée65%
-4 pts$1kvol
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée64%
$1kvol
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Probabilité estimée63%
$4kvol
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée63%
$2volnouveau
Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée62%
$1kvol
Deux Starship de SpaceX vont s'arrimer ensemble d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
Probabilité estimée61%
$810vol
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis99%
$2kvol
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis99%
$568vol
Tread va lancer un token avant le 1er janvier 2028
Donné pour acquis97%
$2kvol
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis97%
$4kvolnouveau
Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis90%
$2kvol
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis90%
$2kvol
Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis88%
$1kvolnouveau
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis88%
$553vol
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Donné pour acquis87%
$1kvol
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Donné pour acquis86%
$641vol
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Donné pour acquis85%
$1kvolnouveau
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée79%
$1kvol
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée79%
$1kvol
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée79%
$986vol
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée77%
$3kvol
Will Flop launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée72%
$3kvol
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée68%
$837vol
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée64%
$1kvol
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée63%
$1kvol
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
-7 pts$2kvol
Betmoar va lancer un token avant le 1er janvier 2028
Probabilité estimée61%
$2kvol
Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$1kvol
Will Catena launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Probabilité estimée61%
$595vol
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probabilité estimée60%
$3kvolnouveau
Cambria listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?
Probabilité estimée68%
$3kvol
Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?
Probabilité estimée62%
-3 pts$2kvol
Alberto Núñez Feijóo va devenir le prochain Premier ministre d'Espagne
Donné pour acquis80%
$9kvol
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Probabilité estimée61%
$6kvolnouveau
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Probabilité estimée60%
$9kvol
What will be the next Fed rate change?
Donné pour acquis82%
$2kvolnouveau
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
Probabilité estimée61%
$12kvolnouveau
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Probabilité estimée66%
$12kvol
Les marchés suivis dans nos articles
Les marchés de prédiction (Polymarket) révèlent l'anticipation collective sur les événements crypto, macro et politiques. France Cryptos suit les probabilités, leur évolution et les articles qui les décryptent, sans aucune dimension de trading.
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